Can A Stick Really Predict Good Weather?

How can a simple stick made of balsam fir be an accurate weather predictor? Do they really work? Learn the science behind nature and see for yourself!

The weather stick has always been popular in the New England States, and it’s growing in popularity elsewhere, too. People have used them for centuries to predict the weather. In fact, it’s said that the Abenaki American Indians that lived along the northeastern coast of the US and Canada were the first to use them.

So what exactly is a weather stick? More importantly, how do they work and how accurate are they?

The World’s Simplest Weather Prediction Device

Weather sticks are made from the dried twigs of balsam fir trees and they’re usually between 15 and 16 inches long. Looking at them, you’ll see they’re incredibly simple – just a stick with the bark removed and a little piece of the tree’s trunk remaining so that you can easily nail it to a wall, fencepost, or a pillar on your porch.

The weather prediction is all in the way weather stick moves. The stick curls upwards sharply when good weather is headed your way and downwards when the weather is about to take a turn for the worse.

They’re very accurate, and they last a long time. Hang one outside your kitchen window or on your porch and it’ll keep forecasting the weather for years to come.

But How Does It Work?

They might seem like a bit of woodsy folklore that doesn’t stand up to modern meteorological methods, but there is actually quite a lot of science behind them. These sticks bend based on the relative humidity.

Higher humidity – which is often a signifier of bad weather – makes them curl downward. When they dry out, they straighten out or curve upwards.

The interesting thing is that there aren’t many kinds of wood that can be used this way – you can’t simply cut a twig from any old tree and expect it to predict the weather. Most trees have what is known as reaction wood.

In other words, if a tree is always exposed to winds coming out of the west, that tree will develop stronger wood fibers on its eastern side to help brace it against high winds.

Balsam fir, however, develops its reaction wood a bit differently. Live balsam fir trees develop reaction wood on the undersides of their branches so that in dry weather, the reaction wood fibers shrink to conserve water, thus bending them towards the ground. Then, when rains come along and the fir trees start drawing more water, those same fibers expand and the tree’s branches unfurl.

Dried balsam fir sticks retain these properties, but since they’re no longer attached to a root system, they rely on the amount of humidity in the air to curl and uncurl.

In fact, that’s one reason why weather sticks have the bark removed. The wood can soak up more water and dry out more quickly, which makes them bend a lot more than if they were protected by a layer of bark.

Weather stick - Weather
Weather stick photo, taken on Tuesday afternoon, a sunny and dry day. Weather stick is pointing up.
stick2
Weather stick, taken on Wednesday morning, which was rainy and humid, less than 24 hours after the first photo was taken.

Using A Weather Stick

The best weather sticks make weather prediction easy. They’ll have a very obvious curve upwards or downwards depending on the humidity. To install one, make sure that the stick is oriented upside-down from the way that it would have grown on the tree.

Traditionally, weather sticks point up for good weather and down for bad weather. If you install your weather stick right side up (the way it would have grown naturally), it will still work, but it will point upwards as wet weather approaches instead of downwards.

Weather stick

Who would have thought that you could predict the weather with something as simple as a stick? If you’re looking for a simple, no-batteries-required way to forecast the weather at home, weather sticks are the best way to do it!

Time Lapse of a Weather Stick in Action

Purchase a weather stick here:

Weather stick - Weather

Farmers’ Almanac Weather Stick

Straight from the Maine woods, this balsam fir weather forecaster really works!

Hang it from an outside wall or a door casing and watch it bend down to predict foul weather, up to predict good weather!

Buy now.

Keep Learning

Extended Winter Forecast

How Does Farmers’ Almanac Predict The Weather?

A Review Of Old Farmers’ Almanac Predictions

Join The Discussion!

Have you ever used a weather stick before?

Let us know in the comments below!

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Amber Kanuckel

Amber Kanuckel is a freelance writer from rural Ohio who loves all things outdoors. She specializes in home, garden, environmental, and green living topics.

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Judy

I have one of these and it works great!

Marica Rizzo

Should the weather stick be installed in any specific direction, i.e., north, east, south, west? Also, you are stating to install the weather stick pointing downward?

BG Donahue

Where do you obtain one of these sticks?

Sandi Duncan

We sell them in our store! Check it out https://www.farmersalmanac.com/product-category/weather

Rose

I believe that in the jungle-like humidity of Fla the stick will be down all the time!

Giovanna

I have had weather sticks for over 40 years and they have never failed once. I would like to find the original legend of the native girl who always predicted the weather but there is nothing about it on Google.

Last edited 2 years ago by Giovanna
Sharon Smith

The second half of this article seems to contradict the other. Which is correct?

Carina

They do work and I was devastated when mine broke renently. I’ve had it for over 12 yrs!!!

Shannon

I live in East Tx where the humidity is high through the summer rain or no rain. I’m wondering if the weather stick would be accurate for areas of higher humidity?

jimbobber

A stick that predicts the weather? My immediate thought was, “Well, a cigar, of course” because humidity, high or low, has a huge impact on them, and they are often referred to as “sticks”.

Jenn

Does anyone know if it will still work if you stain it?

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