Note: We update our seasonal and holiday weather forecasts once a year, so be sure to bookmark this page or signup for our newsletter to get updates!
Summer officially begins this year on June 21, 2023, which means Independence Day is right around the corner. Everyone is excited to watch fireworks displays this year—but will Mother Nature cooperate, or will she be conducting her own fireworks? It looks “iffy” for some of our weather zones. Don’t make any plans without checking our weather predictions for your region!
Looking for the Flag Code to properly display your flag this Independence Day? Check here.
Here’s what we’re predicting for Sunday, July 4th:
2023 July 4-Cast
Zone 1 – Northeast & New England
New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Washington D.C.
Stormy Independence Day, then turning fair.
Zone 2 – Great Lakes, Ohio Valley & Midwest
Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Kentucky, Illinois, Wisconsin
Hot, dry for Independence Day holiday.
Zone 3 – Southeast
Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Florida
Thunderstorms for Carolinas, points south to Gulf Coast, then clearing.
Zone 4 – North Central
Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Colorado, Wyoming, Montana
Hot weather for Independence Day.
Zone 5 – South Central
Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico
Hot for Independence Day. Thunderstorms Gulf Coast, then clearing.
Zone 6 – Northwest
Washington, Oregon, Idaho
Warm-to-hot conditions Fourth of July holiday.
Zone 7 – Southwest
California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona
Hot as a firecracker for the holiday! 115-120°F for some desert locations.
What is the Farmers’ Almanac predicting for the entire summer? Read our summer forecast here.
Check our long-range forecast page to see our detailed predictions!
Happy Independence Day To All!

Canada Day Is July 1
Canadians celebrate Canada Day in July. Learn all about this holiday here.
nice
I like the almanac because it tells you a lot more about the weather and what ever else they have.
Thanks, Sandra! We’re glad you’re enjoying our site. Let us know if there’s something you’d like to see!