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Farmers Almanac
The 2014 Farmers Almanac
Farmers' Almanac

Will This Summer Be a Scorcher?

Will This Summer Be a Scorcher?

After an exceptionally long, cold winter and a wet start to spring for most sections of the U.S. and Canada, you might be yearning for summer and wondering what’s in store.

You may want to retract that wish, though; the 2014 edition of the Farmers’ Almanac says the coming summer will be exceptionally hot across much of North America, with “oppressive” humidity throughout the eastern half of the United States. Only the Pacific Northwest is predicted to be “comfortably warm and dray.”

We predict that while warm weather will initially be slow to establish itself, by July summer heat will have arrived in full force across much of North America.

Hot weather will cover the Southwest; typical summertime temperatures will broil the Southern Plains, while the Central and Northern Plains will swelter through a warm-to-hot summer. To the east of the Mississippi, it won’t be as much a hot summer as it will be a humid summer. Oppressively levels of humidity will make for many uncomfortable days (and nights).

The central part of the nation will see near-normal summer precipitation; the Western states will be drier than normal, while across the Mississippi, Tennessee, and Ohio Valleys on east to the Atlantic Seaboard wetter than normal conditions are expected, thanks chiefly to copious shower and thunderstorm activity.

In the nation’s midsection, we expect “tornado alley” to flare-up in late June. We are also forecasting an early-season tropical storm along the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast states by the end of June and a possible hurricane or tropical storm during the third week of July near or along the Atlantic Seaboard. Typically, tropical cyclone activity over Atlantic and Caribbean waters increases precipitously during the second week of August and reaches its traditional peak on September 10.

Northward into Canada, we predict the Prairies will experience a warm-to-hot summer, while Ontario and all points to the east, it will be a humid summer.

The Prairies will see near-normal summer precipitation; British Columbia will be drier than normal, while across Ontario and Quebec on east to the Atlantic Seaboard wetter than normal conditions are expected, thanks chiefly to copious shower and thunderstorm activity.

Finally, regarding tropical activity in Canada, we are forecasting a possible hurricane or tropical storm in late July near the Maritimes.

For a more detailed look at what to expect in your area, be sure to check our long-range forecast!

2014 U.S. Summer Map

2014 U.S. Summer Map

2014 Canadian Summer Map

2014 Canadian Summer Map


1 Sheila Phillips { 07.25.14 at 8:11 am }

Ontario is cool and rainy a big let down after our terrible winter

2 milton { 07.25.14 at 1:26 am }

I live in Dallas TX and i have enjoyed the summer this year only a few days over 100 and it rained i hope it stays like this!

3 Paul kosik { 07.24.14 at 3:21 am }

Living in Ohio
is a waste of life!

4 JeanieK { 07.20.14 at 1:46 pm }

The Almanac is usually spot on, but the weather (and the climate) is changing so much that even day-to-day forecasts are hard to make!

5 Paul Dupre { 07.19.14 at 9:27 pm }

Here in Huntington Beach, CA it has been a very cool, sometimes downright chilly summer. When you factor in the windchill it has been averaging 70 degrees all summer so far. Hope I didn’t just jinx it! I need to wear a light jacket when I leave for work at 6:20 AM. And it’s July 19th!

6 How Media Bias Censors the Debate on Climate Change | News { 07.16.14 at 6:16 am }

[…] of course, flies in the face of much-publicized predictions from the Farmer’s Almanac of a summer scorcher. But, don’t think for a moment that a chilly July undermines the notion that the earth is […]

7 Kimberly Hoskinson { 07.15.14 at 7:39 pm }

Sitting on the deck which by this time of year is unbearably hot so hot you can’t hardly stand to walk on it bare footed. But today July 15 th 2014 I needed to grab a light jacket and ditch the shorts. As we are enjoying our beautiful wooded property on this cool day we not only see golden leaves falling with the breeze but the sounds of black walnuts hitting the ground. Our buckeye trees are full of nuts and their leaves are turning red and orange. Is Mother Nature fooling us all or is an early autumn in store for us here in ohio.

8 parkjoesungjun { 07.15.14 at 8:29 am }

Toam siad “…. north east will be “oppressively humid, wet, and thunder” and your “long range forecast” says lots of rain with cold chilly air. Well which one is it? oppressively humid or cold chilly? it can’t be both. that’s not how weather works.”

I live in Metro Boston. I was surprised yesterday mornig(7/14/2014) becasue it had been cold. YES. Cold in summer lata late night and early morning. However, I recognize relatively more scatter rains while I commute everyday.

So, I can say they are both accurate and can happen at the same time.

9 Kim J { 07.13.14 at 12:48 am }

Well I live in South Lake Tahoe, CA which has usually a beautifully just right summer. Not this year. Excessive heat started in June and has continued. Also the presents of Humidity, which we never get at this altitude, and it feels good. Its the evenings that bother me most, usually it cools off to the 50′s and it has stayed in the 60′s. Not enough cool air to make up for the day time. WE are also in a long obsessive drought. Our winters usually make enough snow to last until July up at the 10,000 ft level and we barely get enough snow to turn on a windshield wiper. Haven’t used the trusty snow blower in 3 years!!!!. It is very scary with the fire danger and all the tourists. I’d like to know when we get back to normal…if there is such a thing…

10 informative post { 07.12.14 at 2:51 am }

electronic cigar Will This Summer Be a Scorcher? – Farmers’ Almanac
informative post

11 tom { 07.10.14 at 5:04 pm }

your site contradicts itself. this page – “summer 2014 forecast” says north east will be “oppressively humid, wet, and thunder” and your “long range forecast” says lots of rain with cold chilly air. Well which one is it? oppressively humid or cold chilly? it can’t be both. that’s not how weather works.

12 Tammy { 06.25.14 at 12:49 pm }

I for one would rather be cold than hot any day. I am a born and raised Texas Girl, but even I know you can strip and still be boiling hot. If it’s cold you just put more layers on. With a heat index of 110, the kids are stuck with indoor activities and tend to drive each other and their parents crazy within a week. Summer heat can stay away!

13 Lorraine Measor { 06.21.14 at 1:22 pm }

Humid across Ontario and East showery……not my kind of weather!!…. But after last winter I’ll take anything!

14 migs { 06.19.14 at 7:04 am }

Would really like to see more info regarding Atlantic Canada once in awhile. Your focus seams to be USA. thanks.

15 Trystan { 06.18.14 at 10:27 am }

i’m in the Oppressively Humid, Wet & Thundery part of the US. it’s like that every summer; it feels like a tropical rainforest most summer days. (in the winter it feels like the Arctic.) i’ve since accepted that the weather is a caveat for living where I do. :)

16 Ruth { 06.18.14 at 10:10 am }

After this February, I will take anything. Love the nice weather, but it is too much rain
at times. Don’t complain, think of the winter…….

17 Ramona { 06.15.14 at 1:32 am }

I live in Wyoming and it’s freezing. It feels like it could snow tonight. It’s the worst year I can ever remember and I just can’t stand the thought of more snow on the ground in two months. There is no growing season. I swear the bushes are turning red like they do in the fall. I hope we don’t go from winter, two days of spring…back to fall or winter.

18 Janean { 06.12.14 at 4:45 pm }

I live in GA. We had a went winter snow and rain. Usually when you have a wet winter it will be hot and dry in the summer. It is the middle of June and technically still Spring. It has been raining mostly in the afternoon everyday this week but Sunday, Father’s Day is looking good. Saturday doesn’t look bad either. Finally finished mowing my yard that has taken me all week because of this crazy weather. Have a great day.

19 jean { 06.11.14 at 12:04 pm }

I live in Ohio & this summer sucks. cool & rainy. We have a pool & now I wonder why we opened it. Last summer was the same. It seems like we only have about 2 1/2 months of summer then back into winter. Depressing

20 Darla { 06.10.14 at 10:33 am }

I don’t think the FA could predict the shifting of the North pole due to increased earthquake activity, that being said, more than likely the equator has shifted a bit North which is why the Northern states are seeing hotter than normal temps, not to mention the formation of hurricanes much further North than normal over the past few years.

21 Chris { 05.20.14 at 8:24 pm }

Get ready for a new
Maunder minimum….

22 Fredrich P. Jones IX { 05.09.14 at 6:04 pm }

Where I’m at here in NW MS the weather folks have been completey wrong so much this year in predicting storms. Anyone else seeing that in other parts?

23 Marci { 05.03.14 at 11:52 pm }

Summertime, and the livin’ is easy! Boy…do I want SUMMER!

24 manuel Rodriguez { 05.03.14 at 6:17 pm }

Rainy weather i love it i have 8 aquariums in the house and i use rain water because what they call water in central Florida is actually liquid sand and my garden love the water from the aquarium actually we are going into the second harvest the winter was minimal and by the way we are in SAINT CLOUD.

25 Weather Person { 05.03.14 at 1:24 am }

Question, how is it going to be hoter if say liek on weather channel saying it will be colder than usual, even more so than last summer. Explain that. I live in Ohio! Even if el nino being weak or strong it would still be colder than normal. Whats the deal with this whole be hot as hell thing? So whos to believe? Didn’t you all predict the same thing last summer, was only hot for mostly like towards the end of the summer/early fall. Otherwise it was below than warm/hot summer. There saying this year will be even more colder than last summer. So maybe someoen could explain how one comes up in one saying tis going to be warm/hot, and everyone else says its goind to be colder than normal. If yuor going to predict something being you all or them, least do it right, no one wants you guessing. Its a big deal to know hey its going to be tripe digitsl, or 90′s all summer like few summer ago was, or be like last summer. hey you all do this for a living right, its exact science, if its not maybe people shouldn’t be guessing, but to me theres a big difference between 70′s 80′s summer, and a 90′s and plus summer. Be it as a farmer, or everyday person. Just saying!

26 Lorraine { 05.03.14 at 12:56 am }

I live in N. Ontario Canada and all I want is a decent long summer with nice warm temps!

27 Mila { 05.02.14 at 8:19 pm }

The Weather Channel has just given a summer report, predicting cooler to much cooler for most or just some of the country (dependent upon the possible occurrence and strength of El Nino). And due to the amount of snow still in some eastern Canadian areas, they said that is likely to bring in the cooler air too. I do wonder if the FA’s forecast is considering El Nino, as it’s not mentioned. The cooler the better, I say!

28 Lori { 05.01.14 at 4:41 pm }

Bring it on to the Pacific Northwest! Mama’s garden will be thriving!!! Feeling bad for my son in North Carolina! He is a PNW boy!!!

29 Brenda S. Adams { 05.01.14 at 11:55 am }

I really don’t think there IS such a thing as “normal” weather anymore, but God is still in control so I’ll be content with whatever He gives us…:)

30 bhunter1117 { 05.01.14 at 10:18 am }

People don’t complain. Remember the winter.

31 Julie { 05.01.14 at 5:47 am }

Bring it on summer!

32 Sheri Berry { 04.30.14 at 10:52 pm }

I don’t know how anyone can predict the weather anymore. Are you taking into consideration the Chemtrails and the changes they are creating?

33 Troy Haliwell { 04.30.14 at 9:32 pm }

I don’t buy it. It ignores the El Nino that is building in the Pacific, and ignores NWS forecasts that call for a HOT and DRY summer for the Pacific Northwest. Today is the start really–we broke record highs today at 90F. So you can really just ignore the idea we will be Pleasant and Dry.

34 Gaile { 04.30.14 at 7:43 pm }

Looks like the Pacific Northwest will be the ONLY place with nice weather. I live in Connecticut and every summer is getting hotter and stickier and more disgusting. This is not New England weather! When I was a kid, summer temps reached into the 80′s with *maybe* one or two 90 degree days. Now there are more 90+ degree “heat waves” more often. Not normal.

35 Domenico { 04.30.14 at 6:54 pm }

In my youth, long ago in mid west, hot humid summers meant a swim in the skinny dip pond on grandpa’s land. Those were good days in rural America.

36 patricia chavez { 04.30.14 at 6:14 pm }

When is it going to get warmer weather in the midwest like chicago / rockford area

37 debra { 04.30.14 at 4:14 pm }

What about chicago illinois I think I will have to move if we have heat and humidity again

38 DOWNEY { 04.30.14 at 3:58 pm }


39 Doreen { 04.30.14 at 3:26 pm }

I just want something other than cold. Sincerely, a polar vortex survivor.

40 betty { 04.30.14 at 2:44 pm }

It’s been cold and rainy in central VA the past couple of days. Hope it warms up in May! I want a hot vacation week in late June.

41 Phyllis { 04.30.14 at 2:37 pm }

EWWWWWWW…did you say hot…I’m heading for the Northwest…I am NOT a warm/hot/humid person…

42 peggy { 04.30.14 at 12:47 pm }

Finally some good news! Been a very bored lightning photographer in Northern Michigan last few years, as conditions have been so abysmally sunny last few years. Maybe this year will be the year I can rack up some good photos!

43 big g { 04.30.14 at 11:52 am }

florida is already hot an humid with after noon thunderstorm’s4/30/2014

44 Kristy { 04.30.14 at 10:14 am }

I’m in Michigan. West Michigan to be exact. You say rain oppressive humidity and thunder. How much of the summer are we talking about? It’s already May and we are starting off in the low to mid 50′s. With rian may I add.

45 Lillian Dyson { 04.30.14 at 10:14 am }

Thanks but hoping it will be a nice summer!!

46 Lauren { 04.30.14 at 9:41 am }

Please send your unwanted rain to central/south Texas. Medina Lake, NW of San Antonio, is 3% capacity; it is a puddle. Our trees are dying, wells are dry, it is worse than the drought of the 1950s. We desperately need rain while other parts of US and world are waterlogged.

47 Peter Kane { 04.29.14 at 8:41 pm }

Despite the humidity, I still believe in your forecast for a hot summer.

48 Brenda { 04.28.14 at 4:13 pm }

So its going to RAIN the whole time? UGH! That is the last thing we need right now

49 Shirley Redford { 04.28.14 at 1:21 pm }

What is summer midwest weather

50 Aaron { 04.28.14 at 1:00 am }

In your summer outlook you didn’t mention whether or not the southern Mid-Atlantic would be hotter than normal or cooler than normal? Will it also be hot here accompanied with the very high humidity or will it be COOL and humid?

Because when you said “it won’t be as much hot as it is humid” made me think it will be hot everywhere else except the eastern half of the US.

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