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2012 Hurricane Season Forecast

2012 Hurricane Season Forecast

Hurricane season is almost here! The season for tropical storms spans from June 1 through November 30, though activity tends to increase beginning in mid-August, and typically peaks on or around Sept. 10.

Last year’s hurricane season was an above average one, with 19 tropical storms and seven hurricanes, four of which were classified as “major hurricanes.” One of those, Irene, went much farther north and deeper inland than is normal for a hurricane. The average year sees around 11 tropical storms, and six hurricanes.

This year, the Farmers’ Almanac is predicting a less active season. Our 2012 edition mentions only one potential hurricane threat in August, along the Gulf Coast from the 16th through the 19th. Moving into September, we see another possible threat for the Gulf Coast from the 8th through the 11th and a second, possibly related, system moving along the length of the East Coast, from the south into New England a few days later.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is also predicting a near-normal year with between nine and 15 tropical storms and between one and three major hurricanes.

Why Name Hurricanes?
The tradition of weather forecasters giving every tropical storm and hurricane a name began in 1953. Until 1979, those names were exclusively female. Now, we use a six set lists that alternate between male and female names, listed alphabetically and in chronological order starting with A and omitting Q and U, X, Y, and Z. If more than 21 names are required during a season, NOAA dips into the Greek alphabet as it did a couple of years ago. Every six years, the names cycle back around and get reused. If a hurricane does tremendous damage (i.e. Andrew, Camille, Katrina), the name is retired and replaced by a different name beginning with the same letter.

Here is the list for 2012
Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Michael, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sandy, Tony, Valerie, William

8 Responses

  1. I have lived in Florida most of my life and as far as I am concerned the worst storm I have seen was fort Myers beach Florida in 19 46.

    by larry on Apr 18, 2013 at 9:57 am

  2. Well I guess you missed the boat on Sandy!

    by Lisa on Nov 14, 2012 at 3:33 pm

  3. I love that you name the storms it gives a lighter way of looking at it.allso storms have an enerdy of there own.So why not name them?people realy should lighten up.

    by tanya maiolo on Jun 1, 2012 at 8:31 am

  4. i enjoy the info thank you in advance.

    by frances on May 31, 2012 at 6:29 am

  5. I hope they are wrong along the Gulf Coast. We have had a few quiet years and are enjoying them.

    by Joanne D on May 30, 2012 at 4:36 pm

  6. what a load of crap…

    by don lee arbogast jr on May 30, 2012 at 3:17 pm

  7. Why are the names given? Why not numbers, they go on forever and never can re-use a number? Thanks

    by B. Jeffries on May 30, 2012 at 10:46 am

  8. How were the names chosen?

    by scarlette on May 30, 2012 at 9:10 am

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