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The 2016 Farmers Almanac
Farmers' Almanac

Like Snow? Count The Number of Fogs!

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Like Snow? Count The Number of Fogs!

According to folklore, “For every fog in August, there will be a snowfall.”

More August folklore includes:

“If the first week in August is unusually warm, the coming winter will be snowy and long.”

“If a cold August follows a hot July, it foretells a winter hard and dry.”

While many of us in the 21st century may think weather lore is more whimsical that wise, it’s hard to discount all of these “natural forecasters,” especially when they prove to be true. But how could a saying that’s been passed down from sailor to farmer to business executive really predict the weather?!

While not all weather lore is accurate, there are many sayings that prove to be on the mark time and time again. When you examine weather lore, you realize that the basics of this weather predicting method are careful observations that have been made over many years. Weather lore relies on the notion that there is a strong cause-and-effect relationship between nature and the weather.

A weather lore forecaster takes cues from nature at the time he or she needs to know what the weather is going to be like. It is more of a short-term forecast for a specific area, rather than a long-term forecast for broad areas.

What about the Farmers’ Almanac’s Forecast?

Here at the Farmers’ Almanac, we acknowledge and appreciate weather lore, but do not use it when we make our long-range weather predictions. We don’t count acorns or fogs. We have a mathematical and astronomical formula that is more often than not quite accurate.

What’s in store for this winter?

The 2017 Collector’s Edition of Farmers’ Almanac contains the anticipated outlook for not only this winter but also 2017’s spring, summer and fall forecasts. Each edition contains 16 months of weather forecasts as well as useful life-hacks, natural remedies, money-saving ideas, healthy hints, astronomy and so much more. Click here for a sneak peek at what’s inside this 200th edition. Or order your copy here today.

Want to learn more about how we predict the weather? Click here!

 

 

38 comments

1 Cat Dad { 08.25.16 at 5:11 pm }

Very warm (hot) first week of August with a lot of foggy mornings in the southern Appalachians (SW of Asheville). Mild winter last year so maybe a return to a real winter this year.

2 Carrie { 08.20.16 at 9:13 am }

Chilly and foggy this morning in Sayre Pa. It’s a valley between two river, the Chemung and Susquehanna. It’s foggy here a lot.

3 Kimberly Stiebig { 08.18.16 at 10:41 am }

Fog in Vidor, Texas this August 18th am. We could use some cold weather!

4 Zoe { 08.16.16 at 12:00 pm }

Hrmph, no fog yet here in Roanoke,VA. However,I will still hold out hope for a couple of big ones and many light ones(caroling).

5 Mary Ellen Mathers { 08.10.16 at 3:45 am }

Here in Central Ohio until August our spring and summer season was just days marked on the calendar. Our nights were actually cold, could have used the furnace but I just wore warmer close and kept the winter blankets on my bed. Finally August is showing some very warm days, but still a “little” chilly at night. With such different summer days and nights most gardens aren’t producing as usual. Here in Newark Ohio we need rain, seems to always go south. Having trouble with the green tomatoes ripening, although I do like fried green tomatoes but they do need to warm nights, we do have lots of lightening bugs/fire flies to pollenate. Guess the weather man never really pleases all of us.

6 Susan Higgins { 08.05.16 at 1:06 pm }

Hi Carol Corl, We checked with Melissa the Persimmon Lady (also from NC) and she says, “It is still too early for fruits. We have very small green ones about the size of marbles now. I’m thinking maybe they will be ready for reading at the end of the month. The tree may also be experiencing a drop in nutrients or even be dying unfortunately. Persimmons can suffer fruit loss if they experienced a late frost last spring and suffered damage. They also do not do well under sweltering conditions or drought. Both the American and Oriental persimmon are biannual bearers, like pecans, one year a bumper crop, the next a barren barely there year.” Hope that helps!

To get a decent ammount of fruit my grandfather would put bone meal around the trees twice a year to give the proper nutrients and would always have enough (or some cases wayyyyyyyyyyyy too much!) Persimmons for jams jellies and desserts.

If she needs more info NC State is the place to check out. They have some of the most brilliant ag-geared minds in our state! Or even an arborist would best be suited for this one!

7 Carol Corl { 08.03.16 at 2:21 pm }

My persimmon tress do not have persimmons this year. Does this mean a mild winter in NC?

8 donna { 08.03.16 at 1:07 pm }

my grandpa would say if you see the beginning of a group of birds flying but you never see the end, it’s going to be a hard winter. the same thing can be said of trees with berries, if they are loaded with berries, it will be a hard winter. if not many berries it will be a warm winter

9 Pam fisk { 08.03.15 at 8:13 am }

What a lot of tree frogs? I have pool and I don’t remember so many in the past.

10 Pam fisk { 08.03.15 at 8:12 am }

What about tons of tree frogs, my pool is full frogs this year.

11 Marcy { 08.03.15 at 3:54 am }

In Washington they say if a cloud is above the peak of Mt. Rainier, it will rain the next day.

12 Patti J. Padgett { 08.02.15 at 8:55 pm }

In Cheyenne, Wyoming we have had a considerable amount of rain. Low 40s at night high 80s during the day. Which I am told long hard cold winter…….. So let it snow let it snow, let it snow

13 amy bartczak { 08.02.15 at 7:44 pm }

My father always said that if acorns fall early it is,a sign of a,bad winter. They have been falling for 3 weeks.

14 beth { 08.02.15 at 4:11 pm }

If it is foggy in the morning, it will be sunny in the afternoon! Has always been true so far !

15 Jac { 08.02.15 at 4:03 pm }

Here in West Cumbria( The Lake District)
It rains, just rains
My saying is ‘If it’s raining today, it will probably rain tomorrow and the day after and the day after that….
If it isn’t raining today, it will probably rain tomorrow ….. ☺️

16 Michelle { 08.02.15 at 3:09 pm }

Not buying this one. Last August, I had a job that had me out the door by 5 am. Saw lots of fog in the mornings, but that same winter was one of the driest on record, and we are in the beginnings of a drought. So much for snow.

17 Andrea Woods { 08.02.15 at 1:55 pm }

My mother has repeated what her mother used to tell, “Sunshine and rain means more rain to come.”This has been a true statement.

18 Virginia { 08.02.15 at 12:20 pm }

My dad always said”thunder in January, floods in June.” have been seeing that here in IL.

19 Amy A. { 08.02.15 at 11:52 am }

We live in AL and my Grandpa says, ” if it rains on the 1st day of the month, it will rain at least half the month.” I have always tried to pay attention to this and it seems to hold true most of the time.

20 Jeannie { 08.02.15 at 9:52 am }

Here in Seattle we say:
“If you can see The Mountain (Mt. Rainier) its going to rain”….

21 Bob { 08.02.15 at 9:45 am }

What about East Tennessee near the Smoky Mtns it always has some fog

22 Bob { 08.02.15 at 9:44 am }

We live in East Tennessee near the Smoky Mtns. How do you predict there since the Smoky always have some form of fog

23 Eva { 08.02.15 at 9:28 am }

If it thunders in February, it will frost (or be very cool) in April on the same date.

24 Katrina { 08.02.15 at 9:01 am }

My farmer husband knows all kinds of weather folklore.
His favourite is ‘if you can see the underside of the leaves it means it’s going to rain’.

25 Frances { 08.02.15 at 9:00 am }

My Grandma said it was to be a thick fog and 90 days you will see moisture. Give or take a couple of days.

26 Frances { 08.02.15 at 8:58 am }

My Grandma said it was to be a thick fog and 90 days you will see moisture.

27 Christie { 08.02.15 at 8:45 am }

No fog here yesterday. Does it matter if it’s a light fog or thick fog…or does it just mean any fog at all? Thanks for sharing.

28 sheldon { 05.03.15 at 1:25 pm }

I live in texas and would like to know the formula to count the number of fogs till the next rain? thanks, sheldon

29 Joe Kyzer { 08.14.14 at 8:44 am }

I have forgotten to count the foggy mornings in August as I have a lot of drama in the last 4 months. Heart attacks and pacemaker installed. How many foggy mornings have we had in central N. C. near Boone, N.C.?

30 Tricia Feeney { 01.13.11 at 8:28 pm }

We had a lot of hot, humid wx last summer. It was unseasonably warm til Thansgiving. Then we had one of the coldest Decembers on record, and we are still in the deep freeze here in the secondary snowbelt of NE Ohio. We sincerely hope someone will soon buy our home so that we can move out West for health reasons!

31 mousepaw { 08.17.10 at 12:01 pm }

(Southern Ontario, Can) We’ve had a heat wave to beat the band! Over 100F every day since the beginning of August. It looks like it finally broke tho and now 80F feels cool. There have been thick fogs in the mornings too. I love fog but I hate snow! Guess I’d better get some serious snow tires for this winter!

32 LovetheSeasons { 08.16.10 at 8:56 am }

Here in central PA we have had one hot & steamy summer and the first week in August has been no exception. I hope that means mega snow storms! Our Corgis and us just love the snow!

33 RENATE { 08.13.10 at 3:09 pm }

We have a very hot summer here in Indiana. Noticing lots of spider webs around deck area, bushes and house. So far ( 3 ) heavy fogs this month. Could be a interesting winter again. Last year in December we had a ice storm that left us with out electricity for 11 days.

34 Walt { 08.11.10 at 5:16 pm }

It has been record hot here in central Illinois the first week in August. Maybe I should get a bigger snow blower.

35 Ellie { 08.11.10 at 4:00 pm }

We too have had a cool summer with several mornings with fog so thick we can’t see the hills around us. I live in Kelso Washington. About 45 miles from Portland, Oregon

36 moparmom { 08.11.10 at 1:39 pm }

We have had a very warm and humid summer so far here in Northern Michigan. The air conditioners have gotten a workout this year ! I wonder if that means we are in for a lot of snow this winter ? Hope so !

37 Acura T. { 08.11.10 at 12:43 pm }

We live on the pacific coast of Oregon and are having a very cool summer and lots of fog that doesn’t burn off until late in the day and hangs around the beach shore all day. What’s up with that? Are we in for another bad winter like 2008. Same summer pattern as this year.

38 Candice Garnett { 08.11.10 at 11:09 am }

We are experiencing an especially cool summer, what is the folklore on that?
Benicia, CA

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